What improved in the Phase III osteosarcoma results?

  • Among Chinese patients with osteosarcoma that relapsed or was refractory after at least two lines of systemic therapy, median progression-free survival by independent imaging review was 5.5 months with Ris-Rez and 1.4 months with gemcitabine plus docetaxel, a difference of 4.1 months; the hazard ratio for disease progression or death was 0.33.
  • Overall survival data remain immature, with a hazard ratio of 0.51, showing a favorable trend. J.P. Morgan considers the progression-free survival benefit clinically meaningful and supportive of approval in China.
  • New drug applications for Ris-Rez in second-line small-cell lung cancer and third-line or later osteosarcoma have both been accepted for review; the bank expects both indications could be approved in China in the second half of 2027.

What was the safety profile at the higher dose?

  • In the osteosarcoma trial, Ris-Rez was administered at 16.0 mg/kg every three weeks, twice the dose used in the small-cell lung cancer trial. J.P. Morgan considers the safety profile generally manageable, but serious adverse event rates were high in both groups.
  • The incidence of grade 3 or higher treatment-emergent adverse events was 92.5% in the Ris-Rez group and 83.3% in the chemotherapy group; treatment-related serious adverse events occurred in 63.8% and 28.6%, respectively, driven primarily by hematologic toxicity.
  • The Ris-Rez group reported 1 case of treatment-related grade 2 interstitial lung disease, which resolved; there were no treatment-related deaths or new safety signals.

How competitive is Mo-Rez in ovarian cancer?

  • In the global Phase I BEHOLD-1 study in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, the selected Mo-Rez dose was 5.8 mg/kg every three weeks. At a median follow-up of 13.4 months, the confirmed objective response rate was 62%, median duration of response was 12.2 months, and median progression-free survival was 11.1 months.
  • J.P. Morgan considers these data competitive with FRα-targeted ADCs: the next-generation peer drugs cited in the report had response rates of approximately 55% in Phase II studies and median progression-free survival close to or slightly below 10 months. However, differences in prior Elahere use, lines of therapy and trial design limit cross-trial comparisons.
  • In the selected-dose group, 71% of patients experienced grade 3 or higher treatment-related adverse events, and 2% discontinued treatment because of treatment-related adverse events. The bank believes more data are needed to assess its global competitive positioning and the relevance of a Phase III study.

How do these pipeline advances affect the bank’s valuation?

  • J.P. Morgan maintained its Overweight rating on Hansoh Pharma and its December 2027 price target of HK$50; the share price listed in the report as of 26 October 2026 was HK$32.90.
  • The bank expects sales of innovative drugs and licensing income to drive compound annual growth rates of 12% and 15% in revenue and net profit, respectively, through 2030. Its price target uses discounted cash flow analysis and includes commercialized innovative drugs, late-stage pipeline assets, and existing and potential out-licensing income.
  • Risks to this valuation include clinical trial failure, market share erosion by new entrants or new therapies, and geopolitical effects on out-licensing opportunities.