Unhidea explains global investment research, selected interviews and market briefs. Explore source attribution, dates, key assumptions and the reasoning behind each article.
Citi believes the chances of a diplomatic deal and renewed escalation in the conflict over the next two weeks are closer to even; the geopolitical risk premium on crude could rise if Gulf facilities or shipping through the Strait of Hormuz come under threat.
Citi ·
Evercore ISI has lowered its forecast for global oil inventory draws in the fourth quarter of 2026 from 3.5 million barrels per day to 1.1 million barrels per day, but oil accumulating at sea, record freight rates and refinery damage mean the benefits of the supply-demand recovery are unevenly distributed.
Evercore ISI ·
Persian Gulf crude exports have returned to near their 2025 average, but refinery damage, transport constraints and deferred maintenance are slowing the recovery in refined products. Low inventories support prices, while the effect of high oil prices on demand works in the opposite direction.
Goldman Sachs ·
