Programme and guests
DoubleLine Capital’s Sherman Says (approximately 42 minutes and 55 seconds), featuring DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman and strategist Ryan Kimmel. This article covers their discussion of the bond market.
Key points
(The following paraphrases the guests’ remarks; timestamp links point to the corresponding places in the original video.)
- Around the start of the US-Iran conflict on 28 February, markets substantially repriced their expectations for Federal Reserve policy. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONUuQavWVF0&t=412s)
- Energy prices, policy rates and yields rose in tandem, and the correlation between the bond market and energy prices is at its highest since 2007. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONUuQavWVF0&t=447s)
- The market has shifted from expecting rate cuts at the start of the year to expecting three or four additional hikes after one hike has already taken place. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONUuQavWVF0&t=487s)
Background and notes
Subtitles cover the full video (approximately 42 minutes and 55 seconds); this article covers Sherman and Kimmel’s discussion of the bond market.