Topic:Federal Reserve

Unhidea explains global investment research, selected interviews and market briefs. Explore source attribution, dates, key assumptions and the reasoning behind each article.

Macquarie strategist Berry: Fed rate hikes less likely over the next six months than markets think

Gareth Berry, Macquarie’s foreign exchange and rates strategist, says the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates at 3.75% to 4%, with only two officials advocating a hike rather than the three expected by the market, together with plans to reduce the number of rate-setting meetings starting in 2027, makes further hikes over the next six months less likely than the market had previously assumed.

CNA (ChannelNewsAsia) ·

Morgan Stanley’s Gapen: The Fed held steady, but the chair offered no convincing explanation

Michael Gapen, Morgan Stanley’s chief US economist, said what surprised him most was that the chair offered no convincing explanation for why the committee held steady this month. The real policy-based answer is that inflation is driven largely by supply-side forces, raising rates cannot produce more oil, and monetary policy can only prevent energy prices from passing through to other goods.

Prof G Markets (Scott Galloway & Ed Elson) ·

DoubleLine podcast: Deputy CIO Sherman on bond market pricing, energy and Fed rate hikes

In the third episode of DoubleLine’s *Sherman Says*, Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman and strategist Ryan Kimmel discuss the bond market’s repricing since the Iran war began at the end of February. The market has priced in the Federal Reserve’s next move, but the Fed may need to raise rates again to catch up with inflation, with energy at the heart of the story.

DoubleLine Capital ·

CNBC interview: Former Fed Vice Chair Clarida on holding rates steady this week and one more hike in December

PIMCO global economic adviser and former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida speaks with CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street”: The market is right to expect the Fed to hold rates steady this week. Recent comments from Williams, Waller and Jefferson all suggest the Fed can be a little patient, but one more rate hike at the December meeting remains on the table.

CNBC Television ·

CNBC interview: Former Fed Vice Chair Ferguson on holding steady this week and the need for two more rate hikes

Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Roger Ferguson speaks with CNBC’s “Squawk Box”: The Fed is more likely to hold steady this week, as the market also expects, but recent inflation readings have been disappointing and have not eased. He believes fighting inflation will require two more rate hikes, one in December and another after a period of observation.

CNBC Television ·

Bloomberg interview: Fed reporter Capurro on expectations of a hold, Warsh’s language and the possibility of another rate hike by year-end

Bloomberg Federal Reserve reporter Maria Eloisa Capurro speaks with Bloomberg’s This Weekend: September saw the first rate hike since 2023, and markets broadly expect the Fed to hold rates steady at this meeting. But inflation remains close to twice the 2% target. The focus is on how Chair Kevin Warsh explains the pause, the statement’s language on the inflation trend, and progress on the five working-group reforms he promised when he took office.

Bloomberg Television ·

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